Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.035193 0.038320 0.041464 0.044856 0.048406 0.052006 0.055927
2025-12-14 0.029963 0.034581 0.039374 0.044699 0.050425 0.056378 0.063012
2025-12-21 0.026729 0.032490 0.038641 0.045643 0.053341 0.061499 0.070752
2025-12-28 0.022991 0.029457 0.036554 0.044824 0.054103 0.064112 0.075640
2026-01-04 0.020521 0.027586 0.035537 0.044992 0.055785 0.067594 0.081368
2026-01-11 0.018731 0.026320 0.035055 0.045628 0.057877 0.071443 0.087428
2026-01-18 0.017159 0.025167 0.034583 0.046171 0.059776 0.075005 0.093114
2026-01-25 0.014686 0.022721 0.032418 0.044588 0.059100 0.075544 0.095296
2026-02-01 0.013047 0.021192 0.031253 0.044097 0.059616 0.077380 0.098896
2026-02-08 0.011736 0.019984 0.030403 0.043914 0.060434 0.079519 0.102804
2026-02-15 0.011192 0.019750 0.030743 0.045162 0.062944 0.083620 0.108977
2026-02-22 0.010569 0.019360 0.030845 0.046086 0.065042 0.087224 0.114563
2026-03-01 0.009818 0.018762 0.030672 0.046678 0.066770 0.090440 0.119770
2026-03-08 0.008948 0.017933 0.030152 0.046800 0.067902 0.092941 0.124139
2026-03-15 0.008507 0.017701 0.030410 0.047907 0.070247 0.096895 0.130233
2026-03-22 0.007457 0.016471 0.029252 0.047129 0.070206 0.097949 0.132867
2026-03-29 0.006821 0.015828 0.028866 0.047333 0.071375 0.100453 0.137219
2026-04-05 0.006382 0.015464 0.028847 0.048003 0.073121 0.103650 0.142396
2026-04-12 0.005946 0.015071 0.028764 0.048570 0.074722 0.106665 0.147353
2026-04-19 0.004949 0.013632 0.027099 0.046942 0.073464 0.106129 0.147996
2026-04-26 0.004337 0.012802 0.026283 0.046438 0.073628 0.107328 0.150723
2026-05-03 0.003855 0.012159 0.025714 0.046249 0.074184 0.109001 0.154016
2026-05-10 0.003740 0.012206 0.026199 0.047536 0.076680 0.113102 0.160287